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Abstract The observed prevalence of galaxies exhibiting bursty star formation histories (SFHs) atz≳ 6 has created new challenges and opportunities for understanding their formation pathways. The degenerate effects of the efficiency and burstiness of star formation on the observed UV luminosity function are separable by galaxy clustering. However, quantifying the timescales of burstiness requires more than just the continuum UV measurements. Here we develop a flexible semi-analytic framework for modeling both the amplitude of star formation rate (SFR) variations and their temporal correlation, from which the luminosity function and clustering can be derived for SFR indicators tracing different characteristic timescales (e.g., UV continuum and Hα luminosities). Based on this framework, we study the prospect of using galaxy summary statistics to distinguish models where SFR fluctuations are prescribed by different power spectral density (PSD) forms. Using the Fisher matrix approach, we forecast the constraints on parameters in our PSD-based model that can be extracted from mock JWST observations of the UV and Hαluminosity functions and clustering bias factors atz∼ 6. If potential confusion due to e.g., dust attenuation and stellar population effects can be properly quantified, these results imply the possibility of probing the burstiness of high-zgalaxies with one-point and two-point statistics and highlight the benefits of combining long-term and short-term SFR tracers. Our flexible framework can be readily extended to characterize the SFH of high-redshift galaxies with a wider range of observational diagnostics.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available April 1, 2026
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Abstract Using the FIRE-2 cosmological zoom-in simulations, we investigate the temporal evolution of gas-phase metallicity radial gradients of Milky Way–mass progenitors in the redshift range of 0.4 <z< 3. We pay special attention to the occurrence of positive (i.e., inverted) metallicity gradients—where metallicity increases with galactocentric radius. This trend, contrary to the more commonly observed negative radial gradients, has been frequently seen in recent spatially resolved grism observations. The rate of occurrence of positive gradients in FIRE-2 is about ∼7% for 0.4 <z< 3 and ∼13% at higher redshifts (1.5 <z< 3), broadly consistent with observations. Moreover, we investigate the correlations among galaxy metallicity gradient, stellar mass, star formation rate (SFR), and degree of rotational support. Metallicity gradients show a strong correlation with both sSFR and the rotational-to-dispersion velocity ratio (vc/σ), implying that starbursts and kinematic morphology of galaxies play significant roles in shaping these gradients. The FIRE-2 simulations indicate that galaxies with high sSFR ( ) and weak rotational support (vc/σ≲ 1) are more likely—by ∼15%—to develop positive metallicity gradients. This trend is attributed to galaxy-scale gas flows driven by stellar feedback, which effectively redistribute metals within the interstellar medium. Our results support the important role of stellar feedback in governing the chemo-structural evolution and disk formation of Milky Way–mass galaxies at the cosmic noon epoch.more » « lessFree, publicly-accessible full text available June 17, 2026
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ABSTRACT Anisotropies of the Sunyaev–Zel’dovich (SZ) effect serve as a powerful probe of the thermal history of the universe. At high redshift, hot galactic outflows driven by supernovae (SNe) can inject a significant amount of thermal energy into the intergalactic medium, causing a strong y-type distortion of the cosmic microwave background (CMB) spectrum through inverse Compton scattering. The resulting anisotropies of the y-type distortion are sensitive to key physical properties of high-z galaxies pertaining to the launch of energetic SNe-driven outflows, such as the efficiency and the spatio-temporal clustering of star formation. We develop a simple analytic framework to calculate anisotropies of y-type distortion associated with SNe-powered outflows of galaxies at $$z\gt 6$$. We show that galactic outflows are likely the dominant source of thermal energy injection, compared to contributions from reionized bubbles and gravitational heating. We further show that next-generation CMB experiments such as LiteBIRD are likely to detect the contribution to y anisotropies from high-z galactic outflows through the cross-correlation with surveys of Lyman-break galaxies by e.g. the Roman Space Telescope. Our analysis and forecasts demonstrate that thermal SZ anisotropies can be a promising probe of SN feedback and outflows in early star-forming galaxies.more » « less
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Abstract Bursty star formation—a key prediction for high-redshift galaxies from cosmological simulations explicitly resolving stellar feedback in the interstellar medium—has recently been observed to prevail among galaxies at redshiftz≳ 6. Line intensity mapping (LIM) of the 158μm [Cii] line as a star formation rate (SFR) indicator offers unique opportunities to tomographically constrain cosmic star formation at high redshift, in a way complementary to observations of individually detected galaxies. To understand the effects of bursty star formation on [Cii] LIM, which have remained unexplored in previous studies, we present an analytic modeling framework for high-zgalaxy formation and [Cii] LIM signals that accounts for bursty star formation histories induced by delayed supernova feedback. We use it to explore and characterize how bursty star formation can impact and thus complicate the interpretation of the [Cii] luminosity function and power spectrum. Our simple analytic model indicates that bursty star formation mainly affects low-mass galaxies by boosting their average SFR and [Cii] luminosity, and in the [Cii] power spectrum it can create a substantial excess in the large-scale clustering term. This distortion results in a power spectrum shape that cannot be explained by invoking a mass-independent logarithmic scatter. We conclude that burstiness must be accounted for when modeling and analyzing [Cii] data sets from the early Universe, and that in the extreme, the signature of burstiness may be detectable with first-generation experiments such as TIME, CONCERTO, and CCAT-DSS.more » « less
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Abstract The unprecedented infrared spectroscopic capabilities of JWST have provided high-quality interstellar medium metallicity measurements and enabled characterization of the gas-phase mass–metallicity relation (MZR) for galaxies atz≳ 5 for the first time. We analyze the gas-phase MZR and its evolution in a high-redshift suite of FIRE-2 cosmological zoom-in simulations atz= 5–12 and for stellar massesM*∼ 106–1010M⊙. These simulations implement a multichannel stellar feedback model and produce broadly realistic galaxy properties, including when evolved toz= 0. The simulations predict very weak redshift evolution of the MZR over the redshift range studied, with the normalization of the MZR increasing by less than 0.01 dex as redshift decreases fromz= 12 toz= 5. The median MZR in the simulations is well approximated as a constant power-law relation across this redshift range given by . We find good agreement between our best-fit model and recent observations made by JWST at high redshift. The weak evolution of the MZR atz> 5 contrasts with the evolution atz≲ 3, where increasing normalization of the MZR with decreasing redshift is observed and predicted by most models. The FIRE-2 simulations predict increasing scatter in the gas-phase MZR with decreasing stellar mass, in qualitative agreement with some observations.more » « less
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ABSTRACT Recent observations with JWST have uncovered unexpectedly high cosmic star formation activity in the early Universe, mere hundreds of millions of years after the big bang. These observations are often understood to reflect an evolutionary shift in star formation efficiency (SFE) caused by changing galactic conditions during these early epochs. We present FIREbox$$^{\it HR}$$, a high-resolution, cosmological hydrodynamical simulation from the Feedback in Realistic Environments (FIRE) project, which offers insights into the SFE of galaxies during the first billion years of cosmic time. FIREbox$$^{\it HR}$$ re-simulates the cosmic volume ($L=22.1$ cMpc) of the original FIREbox run with eight times higher mass resolution ($$m_{\rm b}\sim {}7800\, M_\odot$$), but with identical physics, down to $$z\sim {}6$$. FIREbox$$^{\it HR}$$ predicts ultraviolet (UV) luminosity functions in good agreement with available observational data. The simulation also successfully reproduces the observed cosmic UV luminosity density at $$z\sim {}6{\!-\!}14$$, demonstrating that relatively high star formation activity in the early Universe is a natural outcome of the baryonic processes encoded in the FIRE-2 model. According to FIREbox$$^{\it HR}$$, the SFE–halo mass relation for intermediate mass haloes ($$M_{\rm halo}\sim {}10^9{\!-\!}10^{11}\, {\rm M}_\odot$$) does not significantly evolve with redshift and is only weakly mass-dependent. These properties of the SFE–halo mass relation lead to a larger contribution from lower mass haloes at higher z, driving the gradual evolution of the observed cosmic UV luminosity density. A theoretical model based on the SFE–halo mass relation inferred from FIREbox$$^{\it HR}$$ allows us to explore implications for galaxy evolution. Future observations of UV faint galaxies at $$z\gt 12$$ will provide an opportunity to further test these predictions and deepen our understanding of star formation during Cosmic Dawn.more » « less
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ABSTRACT The shape of the low-mass (faint) end of the galaxy stellar mass function (SMF) or ultraviolet luminosity function (UVLF) at $$z \gtrsim 6$$ is an open question for understanding which galaxies primarily drove cosmic reionization. Resolved photometry of Local Group low-mass galaxies allows us to reconstruct their star formation histories, stellar masses, and UV luminosities at early times, and this fossil record provides a powerful ‘near-far’ technique for studying the reionization-era SMF/UVLF, probing orders of magnitude lower in mass than direct HST/JWST observations. Using 882 low-mass ($$M_{\rm star}\lesssim 10^{9}\, \rm {M_\odot }$$) galaxies across 11 Milky Way (MW)- and Local Group-analogue environments from the FIRE-2 cosmological baryonic zoom-in simulations, we characterize their progenitors at $$z=6\!-\!9$$, the mergers/disruption of those progenitors over time, and how well their present-day fossil record traces the high-redshift SMF. A present-day galaxy with $$M_{\rm star}\sim 10^5\, \rm {M_\odot }$$ ($$\sim 10^9\, \rm {M_\odot }$$) had $$\approx 1$$ ($$\approx 30$$) progenitors at $$z\approx 7$$, and its main progenitor comprised $$\approx 100~{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$$ ($$\approx 10~{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$$) of the total stellar mass of all its progenitors at $$z\approx 7$$. We show that although only $$\sim 15~{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$$ of the early population of low-mass galaxies survives to present day, the fossil record of surviving Local Group galaxies accurately traces the low-mass slope of the SMF at $$z \sim 6 \!-\! 9$$. We find no obvious mass dependence to the mergers and accretion, and show that applying this reconstruction technique to just low-mass galaxies at $z = 0$ and not the MW/M31 hosts correctly recovers the slope of the SMF down to $$M_{\rm star} \sim 10^{4.5}\, \rm {{\rm M}_{\odot }}$$ at $$z \gtrsim 6$$. Thus, we validate the ‘near-far’ approach as an unbiased tool for probing low-mass reionization-era galaxies.more » « less
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ABSTRACT Both observations and simulations have shown strong evidence for highly time-variable star formation in low-mass and/or high-redshift galaxies, which has important observational implications because high-redshift galaxy samples are rest-ultraviolet (rest-UV) selected and therefore particularly sensitive to the recent star formation. Using a suite of cosmological ‘zoom-in’ simulations at z > 5 from the Feedback in Realistic Environments project, we examine the implications of bursty star formation histories for observations of high-redshift galaxies with JWST. We characterize how the galaxy observability depends on the star formation history. We also investigate selection effects due to bursty star formation on the physical properties measured, such as the gas fraction, specific star formation rate, and metallicity. We find the observability to be highly time-dependent for galaxies near the survey’s limiting flux due to the star formation rate variability: as the star formation rate fluctuates, the same galaxy oscillates in and out of the observable sample. The observable fraction $$f_\mathrm{obs} = 50~{{\ \rm per\ cent}}$$ at z ∼ 7 and M⋆ ∼ 108.5–$$10^{9}\, {\rm M}_{\odot }$$ for a JWST/NIRCam survey reaching a limiting magnitude of $$m^\mathrm{lim}_\mathrm{AB} \sim 29{\!-\!}30$$, representative of surveys such as JADES and CEERS. JWST-detectable galaxies near the survey limit tend to have properties characteristic of galaxies in the bursty phase: on average, they show approximately 2.5 times higher cold, dense gas fractions and 20 times higher specific star formation rates at a given stellar mass than galaxies below the rest-UV detection threshold. Our study represents a first step in quantifying selection effects and the associated biases due to bursty star formation in studying high-redshift galaxy properties.more » « less
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Probing bursty star formation by cross-correlating extragalactic background light and galaxy surveysABSTRACT Understanding the star formation rate (SFR) variability and how it depends on physical properties of galaxies is important for developing and testing the theory of galaxy formation. We investigate how statistical measurements of the extragalactic background light (EBL) can shed light on this topic and complement traditional methods based on observations of individual galaxies. Using semi-empirical models of galaxy evolution and SFR indicators sensitive to different star formation time-scales (e.g. H α and ultraviolet continuum luminosities), we show that the SFR variability, quantified by the joint probability distribution of the SFR indicators (i.e. the bivariate conditional luminosity function), can be characterized as a function of galaxy mass and redshift through the cross-correlation between deep, near-infrared maps of the EBL and galaxy distributions. As an example, we consider combining upcoming SPHEREx maps of the EBL with galaxy samples from Rubin Observatory Legacy Survey of Space and Time. We demonstrate that their cross-correlation over a sky fraction of fsky ∼ 0.5 can constrain the joint SFR indicator distribution at high significance up to z ∼ 2.5 for mass-complete samples of galaxies down to $$M_{*}\sim 10^9\, {\rm M}_{\odot }$$. These constraints not only allow models of different SFR variability to be distinguished, but also provide unique opportunities to investigate physical mechanisms that require large number statistics such as environmental effects. The cross-correlations investigated illustrate the power of combining cosmological surveys to extract information inaccessible from each data set alone, while the large galaxy populations probed capture ensemble-averaged properties beyond the reach of targeted observations towards individual galaxies.more » « less
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Abstract Recent discoveries of a significant population of bright galaxies at cosmic dawn have enabled critical tests of cosmological galaxy formation models. In particular, the bright end of the galaxys’ UV luminosity functions (UVLFs) appear higher than predicted by many models. Using approximately 25,000 galaxy snapshots at 8 ≤z≤ 12 in a suite of FIRE-2 cosmological “zoom-in” simulations from the Feedback in Realistic Environments (FIRE) project, we show that the observed abundance of UV-bright galaxies at cosmic dawn is reproduced in these simulations with a multichannel implementation of standard stellar feedback processes, without any fine-tuning. Notably, we find no need to invoke previously suggested modifications, such as a nonstandard cosmology, a top-heavy stellar initial mass function, or a strongly enhanced star formation efficiency. We contrast the UVLFs predicted by bursty star formation in these original simulations to those derived from star formation histories (SFHs) smoothed over prescribed timescales (e.g., 100 Myr). The comparison demonstrates that the strongly time-variable SFHs predicted by the FIRE simulations play a key role in correctly reproducing the observed, bright-end UVLFs at cosmic dawn: the bursty SFHs induce order-or-magnitude changes in the abundance of UV-bright (MUV≲ −20) galaxies atz≳ 10. The predicted bright-end UVLFs are consistent with both the spectroscopically confirmed population and the photometrically selected candidates. We also find good agreement between the predicted and observationally inferred integrated UV luminosity densities, which evolve more weakly with redshift in FIRE than suggested by some other models.more » « less
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